Best Director Analysis
In a 20 year survey (2002-1983), and 10 year survey (2002-1993) the following statistics emerge (how often the award was the same as the Academy, 20/10):
British Film Awards (BFA) = 0/2
BSFC - Boston Film Critics; = 3/1
DGA - Directors Guild o'America = 16/7
GG - Golden Globe Awards; = 12/6
KCFC - Kansas City Film Critics; = 9/5
LAF - Los Angeles Film Critics; = 5/3
NBR - National Board of Review; = 4/1
NYF - New York Film Critics; = 2/1
Notes:
GG missed in 1985, 1995, 1996, 2000, 2001, 2002 (missed the past 3 years)
DGA missed in: 1983, 1985, 1988, 1991, 2000, 2002 (missed twice in past 3 years).
And, in 2000, SAG & GG agreed, incorrectly, for Ang Lee over Soderburgh (which I predicted). Both got it wrong in 2002, a bad predicted year.
This year's statistics are:
NBR - Edward Zwick - The Last Samurai
BSFC, IND, NYF, NYOC, SEA - Sophia Coppola - Lost in Translation
BFC, CFC, CO, DFW, DGA, FFC, GG, IWA, KCFC, LAF, LVFC, OFC,
PFC, PP, SanF, SDFC, SFC, TFC, VFC, WDC
- Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
NSFC - Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
BFA - Peter Weir - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
The overwhelming numbers are for Jackson, and since he is also slated to get the Best Picture, and since its rare to split the two (in happened, in recent days, in 1989, 1998, 2000, and 2002), I will go with Jackson on this.
In a 20 year survey (2002-1983), and 10 year survey (2002-1993) the following statistics emerge (how often the award was the same as the Academy, 20/10):
British Film Awards (BFA) = 0/2
BSFC - Boston Film Critics; = 3/1
DGA - Directors Guild o'America = 16/7
GG - Golden Globe Awards; = 12/6
KCFC - Kansas City Film Critics; = 9/5
LAF - Los Angeles Film Critics; = 5/3
NBR - National Board of Review; = 4/1
NYF - New York Film Critics; = 2/1
Notes:
GG missed in 1985, 1995, 1996, 2000, 2001, 2002 (missed the past 3 years)
DGA missed in: 1983, 1985, 1988, 1991, 2000, 2002 (missed twice in past 3 years).
And, in 2000, SAG & GG agreed, incorrectly, for Ang Lee over Soderburgh (which I predicted). Both got it wrong in 2002, a bad predicted year.
This year's statistics are:
NBR - Edward Zwick - The Last Samurai
BSFC, IND, NYF, NYOC, SEA - Sophia Coppola - Lost in Translation
BFC, CFC, CO, DFW, DGA, FFC, GG, IWA, KCFC, LAF, LVFC, OFC,
PFC, PP, SanF, SDFC, SFC, TFC, VFC, WDC
- Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
NSFC - Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
BFA - Peter Weir - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
The overwhelming numbers are for Jackson, and since he is also slated to get the Best Picture, and since its rare to split the two (in happened, in recent days, in 1989, 1998, 2000, and 2002), I will go with Jackson on this.
This entry was posted
on Sunday, February 29, 2004 at 2/29/2004 03:30:00 PM.
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